On Tuesday, the House continued to move quickly toward the impeachment of President Trump, releasing their articles of impeachment. The articles, drafted by Rep. Jerry Nadler, accuse Trump of high crimes and misdemeanors. Specifically, Nadler suggests Trump has abused the power of the Presidency and obstruction of Congress.
The Articles are in two specific sections. Section one specifically deals with the Ukraine issue and the potential abuse of power. Nadler suggests that Trump attempted to use Ukraine for personal political benefit against Joe Biden. As other Republicans have indicated, Joe Biden is not the nominee at this point. The articles accuse the President of a quid pro quo, even when those myths have been debunked previously.
The second part of the articles of impeachment deals directly with obstruction. In these charges, Trump is accused of preventing compliance with Congressional subpoenas. Democrats did not seem to have issues with this happening in the Solyndra case or the Fast and Furious case during the Obama administration.
As I have written before, there is no evidence of an actual crime that President Trump committed. The hearsay and “evidence” that House Democrats state exists is purely hearsay. The question that exists now is how will House Democrats vote on impeachment?
There have been concerns recently about how some red district Democrats will vote on impeachment. Many suggest that the writing of the articles of impeachment may guide how they vote. It appears that Democrats stuck with their statements on Ukraine. Some of these vulnerable Democrats were concerned about expansion of the articles.
This is still not a guarantee. Two Democrats broke ranks to vote against the inquiry in the first place. There are multiple vulnerable spots. Republicans are advertising in those vulnerable areas in an attempt to use impeachment to flip the House in 2020.
I feel confident that Pelosi has the votes to pass the resolution if she is bringing it to a vote. While the discussion may bring about some ratings, Pelosi is smart enough to avoid a vote if she lacked votes. There may be Democrats that break ranks, but generally speaking they will stick together.
As I wrote previously, I feel confident the resolution fails in the Senate. If the resolution passes on party lines in the House, it very well could help flip the house to Republicans in 2020. Impeachment support continues to fall. Democrats needed evidence, which they have not produced. Through the Mueller report and now this inquiry, there is no absolute evidence.
Democrats continue the impeachment push by Christmas, to give them weeks to try to win over the public opinion over the break. I’m sure that there will be weeks of PR events to help support impeachment and push the Senate. Republicans in the Senate need to be prepared for a trial that produces doubt about the Democrats process.
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