Liberal media outlet Newsweek has an article out on Thursday that says President Trump will go down as a poor President in history. Not poor as in the financial sense, but poor as in a horrible President. They base the article on recent findings from a The Economist/YouGov poll, but the article is misleading for sure. Lets take a closer look.
According to Newsweek, “a large share of respondents – 40 percent – said Trump will be described in the history books as a “poor” commander-in-chief.” This is true, as a total of 49% said he would be rated as below average or poor. Then, 33% said he would be rated as above average or outstanding. According to the poll, 60% agree that Trump has accomplished what they expected or more than expected.
The poll was conducted online from December 22 through the 24th. This was after the Trump impeachment and much of the Senate discussions had occurred regarding holding the articles of impeachment. There’s a key detail here though by Newsweek that is left out. As always, there is much more details in these polls than the media would like you to know.
Sure, it sounds good on the surface for reading that Trump is rated poor. It goes along with the typical media narrative. But of those surveyed, 34% identified as a Democrat while only 24% identified as a Republican. When broken down, 43% identified as a Democrat of some form, while only 33% identified as Republican. This is a major deviation from a true resemblance of the US population.
In 2016, Trump lost the popular vote to Clinton 48% to 46%. In 2012, Obama won the popular vote 51% to 47%. In 2008, it was 52% to 45%. In 2000, Bush lost the popular vote 47% to Gore’s 48%. Aside from the 2008 Obama vote, all of the recent election results have been within 4%. That’s simply not the case in this poll as it is heavily weighted toward Democrats and Independents.
Another interesting fact, of those surveyed, 39% said that they did not vote in the 2016 election. While this matches the US election participation rate, it also raises another question. What is the age of these that were surveyed? I mean obviously a good percentage didn’t vote. Was it because they weren’t eligible or what was the reason. Of those surveyed, 22% listed their age as under 30, while 70% listed their education as some college or less. While no data supports it, but I have a sneaky suspicion that many of those surveyed are either not of age to vote or recently became eligible.
It’s just another case where the data in the poll is misrepresented in order to push a point. I simply do not trust these polls due to this. Sure, I think President Trump faces a harsh reelection battle. Not because he is a horrible President, but because everyone is out to get him. President Trump may have some issues and concerns regarding his morality and how he makes statements, but he is far from the worst President. Why do I say that?
Well the poll proves it! There is one key piece of data you can take from this survey. Of those surveyed, 70% said 2019 was a good or very good year for them and their family. A majority (47%) said that they were better off now than they were 4 years ago under President Obama. In the data, 70% reported that their local economy was as good or better now than a year ago. Of those polled, 65% said their job security was the same or better than a year ago and 63% reported the US economy was the same or better than a year ago. If Trump is a failure, how is it that the majority of people are so much better off?
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