Charlotte, NC — Rasmussen has some pretty fascinating polling out. And while they tend to have more positive polling for the president, they also are among the few that was accurate back in 2016. One of the reasons is because they evaluate “likely voters” and not just registered voters like some polls, arguably a better measure of who will be voting and, therefore, the results.
Their latest data puts President Trump ahead of Joe Biden in the race! 47% to 46%, a one-point lead. If you’ve been tracking, this is the first time he’s led in the race according to the polls. Biden had a two-point lead last week, which appears to have been erased.
One of the other factors in the poll, according to Rasmussen, is that they didn’t oversample Democrats as do many other polls. Their sample was 37 were Democrats, 33% Republican, and 31% independent of likely voters. In addition to that, Rasmussen found that Trump also again reached his highest approval rating, 52%, at a critical point now just before the election.
While other polls still have Biden up, the gap has narrowed considerably, and they are oversampling and not counting the hidden Trump vote, so it’s likely closer to Rasmussen in reality. All the data points have been moving favorably toward Trump, including attracting minority support.
From Washington Examiner:
Rasmussen said that both Biden and Trump hold 80% of their base. And, it said Trump is attracting minorities. “Trump shows surprising strength among other minority voters, suggesting perhaps that he is attracting Hispanic support as violent racial protests continue in many major cities,” said the analysis. [….]
A key to past reelection victories has been a national approval rating of about 50%. Trump’s average has been well below that over his three-plus years in office, but like former Presidents George W. Bush and Barack Obama, he appears to be peaking just in time.
This may not be factoring in his successes in the Middle East. The Abraham Accords, which even Joe Biden has praised, has achieved a peace deal signed between Israel, the UAE, and Bahrain, with more Arab nations likely to come on board.
That’s an incredible achievement that moves the Middle East closer to real peace and isolates the bad actors like Iran. President Trump’s “smart door” approach to getting these deals done has baffled the previous president’s, and the media is absolutely beside themselves!
In fact, “Peace in the Middle East” has been a description of the impossible or a pipe dream task. It looks like we are gonna have to change that slogan to a “Peaceful protest in a Democratic City!” Just to give you an idea as to what the Middle East thinks of the leadership of President Trump, check out this video tweeted out late Tuesday on the walls of the Old City in Jerusalem:
Unbelievable sight. Thank you, @realDonaldTrump https://t.co/HU1z2b1mDI
— Richard Grenell (@RichardGrenell) September 16, 2020
But what is being factored in would appear to the riots, according to Rasmussen Reports.
Three-out-of-four voters who’ve had violent anti-police protests in their community rate those protests important to their vote in the presidential election. Among these voters, a sizable majority like the job President Trump is doing.
The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone and online survey finds that 42% of Likely U.S. Voters have had anti-police protests in their community this summer.
Nearly half (48%) of these voters say the protests in their community have turned violent.
Among all voters, 65% say the violent protests are important to their vote in the presidential election this fall, with 41% who say it’s Very Important.
Among those who have had violent protests in their community, even more (76%) rate them important to their vote, including 54% who say they are Very Important. Sixty-three percent (63%) of these voters Strongly Approve of the job Trump is doing versus 35% who Strongly Disapprove.
Most voters viewing the violent protests as “criminal in nature.” Why? Because they have eyes and they’re not insane! And people are also seeing that it’s the Democratic leaders who are making it worse by not dealing with it appropriately.
Specifically, despite being on the bottom half of the Democratic ticket, Kamala Harris will actually be the leader of a “Biden/Harris” administration. She has given a lot of support to these rioters! Check out this tweet from Senator Tom Cotton (R-AR).
Kamala Harris helped violent rioters in Minnesota get out of jail to do more damage.
Don't believe her when she says she "condemns the violence"—look at her record, not her words. https://t.co/lL2aYjxPZA
— Tom Cotton (@TomCottonAR) August 31, 2020
That isn’t helpful to Democrats or Biden. The Biden staff and Kamala Harris donated to a fund to help bail out people arrested during the riots and encouraged other people to do so as well. Not to mention fully embraced the BLM during their convention where they completely ignored the violent nature of the riots. Americans are apparently getting it, and they’re not liking it.
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