Former president Donald Trump crushed President Joe Biden by 8 points in a poll of Michigan voters released Tuesday, the latest poor showing for the president.
In a hypothetical contest between the two presumptive major-party nominees, Trump took 47 percent of the vote, compared with Biden’s 39 percent in the poll, which the Michigan-based Glengariff Group performed for the Detroit News and local Channel 4. When pollsters added third-party candidates, Trump beat Biden by a margin of 41 percent to 29 percent, with a hypothetical Liz Cheney No Labels candidacy taking 8 percent. Surveyors also tested Sen. Joe Manchin (D., W.Va.) as the No Labels candidate, leading to Manchin taking 4 percent of the vote and Trump defeating Biden by 11 points.
“If I were a Democrat in Michigan, I would be breaking the emergency fire alarms in the White House and demanding to know what the plan is for Michigan,” Richard Czuba, founder of the Glengariff Group, told the Detroit News. “Because these numbers are very bad for any incumbent of any party.”
Pollsters asked whether the two candidates deserved a second term. Seventeen percent said so of the incumbent Democrat, while 77 percent wanted someone different. For Trump, 33 percent said he deserved a second term, and 62 percent believed someone else should be president.
The group also tested other hypothetical scenarios, including a matchup between Biden and former South Carolina governor and ambassador to the United Nations Nikki Haley, which Haley won by 10 points. Trump lost by 4 points in a race between him and Michigan governor Gretchen Whitmer (D.) but won by 5 points against California governor Gavin Newsom (D.).
The poll queried 600 Michiganders likely to vote in November, and it had a margin of error of 4 points.
It is not the only recent poor showing for Biden in Michigan. A December poll saw Biden lose to Trump in seven swing states, including Michigan, though his lead was within the margin of error in that survey.
A poll from the Wall Street Journal released days earlier saw Trump beating Biden by 4 points nationally but indicated Biden would beat Trump by 1 point if the former president received a criminal conviction. In Tuesday’s Detroit News poll, about 58 percent of Trump voters said a conviction would not influence their vote, but 28 percent said they would be less likely to vote for Trump in that scenario.
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