On Tuesday, New Hampshire held its “First In The Nation” primary. Republicans and Democrats went to the polls. Obviously, President Trump won the Republican primary by a landslide. We are not here to look at the Republican primary, but rather the fact that the Democrats voted overwhelmingly in favor of socialism.
Early in the reporting, news outlets said that Andrew Yang had officially dropped out of the race. In his statements, Yang said that he did not want to accept donations for a cause he knew he could not win. Yang, who has built his campaign around math, knew that the numbers simply did not add up. It would be impossible for him to win the nomination. He is better suited for a role in an administration by dropping out now.
Amy Klobuchar was the surprise of the night, having a strong showing beating both Elizabeth Warren and Joe Biden. Biden gave up on New Hampshire early in the day choosing to leave the state in favor of campaigning in South Carolina. With two poor showings, Biden and Warren both appear to be in trouble. We are 3 weeks away from Super Tuesday and both have yet to have a strong showing to their credit.
Which brings us to the top two candidates. I outlined how both of these candidates were socialists. The difference is that Buttigieg hides his socialist views behind elegant speech and charisma. Bernie Sanders and Pete Buttigieg stole the show in New Hampshire. Sanders continues to solidify himself as the candidate to beat, while Buttigieg is easily showing he has the staying power at the top of the ticket.
But New Hampshire Democrats are showing what we knew and feared all along. The Democratic Party is now a socialist party. Democrats prefer socialism to the alternatives. They want to give up freedoms for government control and dependence. After the 2016 election, we all saw this coming, but the time is here.
The Bloomberg and Biden campaigns are banking on southern states and Super Tuesday contests to give them momentum. But will it be too late? Will the momentum from Iowa and New Hampshire carry Sanders or Buttigieg to victory? I believe this is a good possibility.
The key questions will be how Buttigieg and Sanders performs in the south. Polls in Nevada show Sanders in a statistical tie with Biden. Sanders narrowly lost here in 2016. Biden does show strong in the current polls in South Carolina, while Buttigieg is struggling in both states. Other upcoming states show that Sanders is performing well behind Biden while Buttigieg is struggling to poll in the double digits.
If the New Hampshire performance gives any momentum to Buttigieg, he will move support from Biden into his column. This has to be a concern to the Biden campaign. Based on poll data and performance, Warren will most likely be the first of the big four candidates to drop out of the race. However, this does not say she has no influence on the race.
I suspect that most of Warren’s supporters will move to Sanders in the end. This will give Sanders the support needed to clinch the nomination over anyone else who challenges him. I’ve said multiple times that there is no way both of them remain, but they will try as long as possible. Previously, I thought that Warren might give Sanders a challenge, but Sanders has held his own. In the end, he has the momentum going into Nevada and Super Tuesday.
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